The McCain Myth Response
Democrats Won't Prevail
Mr. McCain kicked his presidential aspirations and probably his senatorial seat into the sewer when he worked to broker that deal with the Democratic "moderates." The Republican base is as angry as I have ever seen them, and it is making its anger felt.
I was called by a Republican fundraiser (a nice young woman) who told me that every last dependable giver laced into her because of the deal. Mr. McCain was mentioned prominently in every call.
The deal itself, mostly Bill Frist's fault, was the exact opposite of what the base wanted, but it was so revealing that it was a thing inevitable. It had to happen.
A few important revelations rose. One, Mr. McCain demonstrated his complete lack of perception into his other side colleagues. Does anyone want this guy staring down terrorists? Two, Mr. McCain edged himself into the "good old boys" clan where the art of the deal trumps the facts. Three, Mr. McCain showed exactly that he's been inside the club too long.
Even so, the liberals stand almost no chance of prevailing anytime soon. The electorate is ticked off. There's a war on, boys, and running heady exercises in politics won't cut it.
Mr. McCain and the rest better wise up, or they'll be looking for lobbyist jobs sooner than they expect. Recall worked in California, Arizona is right next door.

1 Comments:
I don't know; at first I was in the camp that assumed McCain blew it. Part of me just doesn't like the guy that much, so it was a natural response, I suppose. On the other hand, I think McCain would be a decent successor to Bush. His national security positioning is in line with Bush, and his "moderation" would probably be a welcome antidote after 16 years of fierce partisan division. And I'm not familiar in too great a detail, but from what I understand, he's not really a pork-barreler, is he? If not, he may be able to bring the concept of fiscal conservatism back into focus. Additionally, since he comes from a border state, he would have credibility in the immigration debate that I predict will be the main issue of the next presidential election cycle. His proximity to the issue will give him a perceived edge in credibility when it comes to proposed solutions, and allow him to interject sanity (if he so chooses) into what is likely to become a contest of "who can out-isolationist whom" between the parties. If the Senate can't get CAFTA right in the next few months, we're up the creek anyway (who thinks Europe and China won't step in to fill the vacuum in S. America?)...
If faced with an alternative of Hillary, the religious conservatives will either stay home or vote for a McCain (if nominated). What they do will depend on the GOTV effort, not so much the candidate him/herself. Look at the numbers on Kerry 2004 for an example of this; no one in his party liked him, after all -- at least McCain does have some friends in the party, if not the entire party behind him.
And besides, McCain's probably the only possible out there who would put Condi Rice on the ticket. McCain/Rice '08 would be a pretty tough act to beat, wouldn't you say?
June 15, 2005 7:50 AM
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